💰 Strategy May Have to Sell Bitcoin?

ETH 2021-2025: Stagnant Progress

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Crypto world is spreading the news that a company may be forced to sell BTC, and given the current market conditions, here's what you need to know.

Here’s what we got for you today:

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ℹ️ Crypto Sources From The Crypto Fire ℹ️

⚠️ Strategy May Be Forced To Sell Bitcoin, Breaking 'Hodl' Pledge

[UNCONFIRMED NEWS]

A post on X claims Michael Saylor is filing a notice with the SEC to sell its Bitcoin to cover debt if $BTC.X ( ▲ 2.31% ) keeps dropping, potentially breaking Michael Saylor's long-held promise to "never sell Bitcoin."

They mention that Strategy holds 528,185 $BTC.X ( ▲ 2.31% ) with a DCA price of $67,458, making the total worth about $40.12 billion. But, let’s look into the data:

  • Strategy was sitting on nearly a 50% loss at the end of 2022 when Bitcoin dropped to $16,600, and their DCA price was $30,000.

  • The bonds issued by Strategy have long maturities in 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, 2032.

→ If $BTC.X ( ▲ 2.31% ) drops below the DCA price, it would just be an unrealized loss, not necessarily a cause for immediate action. This suggests that the pressure to sell Bitcoin to meet debt payments might not be as urgent as the rumor implies.

→ Strategy’s loans don’t use $BTC.X ( ▲ 2.31% ) as collateral, so there’s no immediate risk of being forced to sell Bitcoin to cover debt like in some DeFi loans.

The only scenario where Strategy would be compelled to sell $BTC.X ( ▲ 2.31% ) is if the company declares bankruptcy and a court orders the liquidation of its assets to pay off debts. However, even in that case, it’s likely the sale would happen OTC (over-the-counter), similar to FTX’s Solana sale, to avoid crashing the market price.

While this could just be a rumor to stir the market, the situation remains fluid, and further developments should be watched carefully.

What do you think about the rumor?

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👀 Crypto or Stocks – Are We in a Real Downtrend or Just Shaken Up?

A lot of people are asking the same thing right now:

Is this a real downtrend? Or just noise?

Will the U.S. economy slow down?

Has crypto lost steam for the year?

Nobody can give a straight answer yet. But here’s what we do know.

1️⃣ We’re not in a financial crisis like 2023

Back then, U.S. banks collapsed because interest rates jumped fast, and they were holding old bonds. That created a chain reaction - a systemic risk. What’s happening now isn’t like that. It’s fear-driven, not system-driven.

2️⃣ Markets are moving based on sentiment, not structure

One piece of news can flip everything.

  • Nvidia?

Just like hype pushed Nvidia to feel "invincible" months ago, now the mood has flipped. A single announcement (like a U.S.–China tariff deal) could shift markets overnight.

→ Right now, it’s not about logic — it’s about emotion.

  • S&P 500?

The S&P 500 is down more than 10%, which officially puts it into a correction. That’s normal. Since 1929, there have been 56 of these. Only 22 turned into full-blown bear markets (20%+ drop). So most of the time, these dips don’t go that far.

s-p-500-corrections

⇒ The big fear now is tariffs.

Investors are trying to guess how new tariffs will affect profits. No one knows for sure. So markets are reacting before they fully understand the impact - that’s why things feel shaky.

3️⃣ Crypto and stocks are more connected than people think.

Money flows between them. Right now, Bitcoin ETFs are seeing outflows. But that doesn’t mean crypto is crashing.

Here’s the difference:

  • ETF investors treat Bitcoin like a stock - if they panic, they sell.

  • Spot buyers (on Binance, Coinbase) think long-term - they hold.

That’s why Bitcoin can bounce while ETFs bleed.

If panic spreads in the stock market, correlation could grow - people might start selling everything. We’re not there yet, but it’s possible.

Still, this isn’t a breakdown. It’s temporary uncertainty. A single policy change could calm the storm fast.

We’ve seen this before. During the 2018–2020 trade war, tariff headlines moved markets early on. But later, they mattered less. Markets adapt. And history shows: countries that export more usually feel more pain and end up adjusting.

And a positive hint 👇

Lately, crypto and stocks are basically moving as one - and macro news is calling the shots.

Right now, the S&P 500 is bouncing off a level it last touched a year ago.

→ If that support holds, we could see a market recovery... and crypto will likely follow.

Markets are stressful enough. Now we’ve gotta keep an eye on U.S. stocks too 😅

4️⃣ Short-term pain, long-term plan

The moment things flipped: March 6

Sounds small, but it hit hard.

Why? Because until then, investors believed Trump would step in to protect the market if things got too ugly. That belief kept the S&P 500 hitting new highs - even during early trade war noise.

But once he said, “I’m not watching the market,” people freaked out. Confidence broke. And prices started falling hard.

→ Markets are emotional. And they move based on short-term stories.

Now: The U.S. just slapped 104% tariffs on Chinese goods

At this point, whether it’s 100%, 150%, or even 200% - the message is clear: “Don’t sell here.”

China? It’s likely going to respond the usual way:

  • Print more money

  • Devalue the yuan

  • Cut interest rates

All to stimulate their slowing economy and fight back against Trump’s heavy-handed moves.

But it’s not just China in the crosshairs. Trump wants to fix trade imbalances with everyone. Countries like Italy have offered a “0% for 0%” deal — but that’s not enough. So expect high tariffs to stick around for many regions.

China’s going further than just tariffs though — it’s selling U.S. bonds. That’s a real problem for Trump’s plan.

Why? Because Trump needs lower interest rates. The U.S. is sitting on $9.2 trillion in debt this year and $28 trillion over the next 4 years. If borrowing costs stay high, interest payments explode — and that ruins any plan to lower the national debt.

So what’s Trump’s move? He shakes the markets to force investors to buy U.S. bonds, which pushes yields down.

But with China dumping bonds? Yields are rising again — U.S. 10-year yield even jumped past 4.3% recently. That’s the opposite of what Trump wants.

The Fed is still waiting on inflation data before making moves — but they’ll eventually have no choice:

👉 Either cut interest rates
👉 Or watch the economy crumble

At some point, both the U.S. and China will print money to survive. That money won’t just sit still — it’ll look for returns.

And when that happens?

💸 Assets pump.
🌟 Stablecoins grow.
📈 Crypto wins in the long run.

Short-term? Volatile.
Long-term? This could be a setup for something big.

But here's the bigger picture:

A few months ago, AI stocks looked unstoppable. Now they’re dropping like everything else.

Over the long term, it’s not hype or headlines that matter. It’s:

  • Real demand

  • Inflation trends

  • Interest rate policy

  • Government debt strategy

If you’re investing, you need to know which stories are short-term noise—and which ones shape the actual path of the economy.

5️⃣ Trader Take: So where are we now?

  • Stocks are correcting, not collapsing

  • Crypto is reacting, not dying

  • It’s not a bear market yet

  • Sentiment is fragile — but reversible

It’s not a clean answer. But that’s how real markets work.

⭐ 5 Things You Shouldn’t Miss

✅ It's time to face the facts: $ETH.X ( ▲ 2.97% ) has had roughly the same number of active addresses for the past 4 years. This isn’t exactly the "efficiency zone" we were hoping for. It’s more like stagnation, where things aren’t really moving forward as much as we expected.

glassnode-studio-eth-number-of-active-addresses

Source: Glassnode - ETH: Number of Active Address

📉 Virtuals Protocol, once a leader in AI agent creation and monetization, peaked in January with daily revenues over $500,000. Now, the platform’s daily revenue has dropped to just $500, with its token price falling by 90%.

📦 An Ethereum whale finally sold 10,000 ETH after 900 days, missing a $27.6M profit when ETH hit $4K. Meanwhile, Trump’s World Liberty Financial may have sold 5,471 ETH - at a loss.

💲 The US 10-year bond yield has shot up in the last 48 hours, signaling some serious economic risk. If this keeps up, we might see mortgage rates hit 8% and a recession could be looming. This isn't your typical market move - 10-year bonds are usually super stable. Big swings like this usually happen only during financial crises or war.

US-10-years-treasury

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This newsletter is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Traders should conduct thorough research, understand the risks, and carefully evaluate their decisions before investing in cryptocurrency.


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